Arthur Hayes, former CEO of Bitmex, was predicted on January 27. Blog post This bitcoin (BTC) could be modified between $ 70,000 and $ 75,000 before reaching $ 250,000 by the end of 2025.
Hayes argued that Bitcoin’s historic volatility would be appropriate to fix 30 % in this bullish market.
Potential pullbacks to the $ 70,000 range can return all spurred profits due to recent market optimism, including President Donald Trump’s re -election of President Donald Trump’s re -election.
According to Hayz:
“Pullback of this size will be ugly. We may rise from $ 70,000 to $ 75,000 bitcoin and then rise to $ 250,000 by the end of the year, rather than continuing high without the pullback of materials. I think it is expensive.
Hayes added that the sudden correction of bitcoin causes even greater selling with altcoins and is likely to create advantageous opportunities for capitalized people.
As a result, when it is time to find a reasonable admission price with other ciphers, the position of bitcoin can be settled in large quantities.
History often rhymes
Hayes began an optimistic year, but since then has relieved his prospects. He explained that the delicate changes, credit expansion, and fluid conditions of Fiat were anxious, similar to the sluggish market sluggish in late 2021.
I am optimistic about continuing the bullshicle in 2025, but Haze is seeing a potential correction approaching. Many of his analysis focuses on global monetary policy and the interaction of financial markets.
He stressed concerns about the US Federal Reserve, which faces a delicate balance of the Ministry of Finance, according to Hayes, to navigate the Yen of the Ministry of Finance and political pressure for 10 years. The record of the debt issuance and the resistance between the foreign government and the commercial bank, which are regular buyers, have created a “powder barrel” in the Ministry of Finance.
In addition, Haze warns that the rise in yields can cause a mini -financial crisis, and the federal preparation system reverses the course with interest reduction and quantitative easing (QE). tHis potential fluid injections will ignite a large -scale rally of risk assets, including bitcoin, because investors are seeking evacuation from Fiat.
Macro indicator
Hayes also investigated China and Japan’s monetary policy and focused on deceleration in the creation of money in the two countries.
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) began reflection measures in late 2024, but suddenly shifted the course in January 2025, choosing a stable currency for economic stimulation. Similarly, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) tightens financial conditions and further restricts global liquidity.
He emphasized that these conditions create a short -term headwind of bitcoin. Nevertheless, he set up a rapid increase in the future. Central banks inevitably change into money printing to address financial instability.
In addition, Bitcoin indicates that the short -term correlation with conventional assets, especially US technology stocks, is increasing.
Nasdaq’s futures are sliding down in a new competition between the rise in yields and the development of artificial intelligence in China, so Hazes can be a major indicator of Bitcoin. We are warning.
“Bitcoin is the only truly global free market that exists. This is very sensitive to global Fiat liquidity conditions, so if the fluid crunch of Fiat is approaching, the price is the stock price. Before it, it becomes a major indicator of financial stress. “
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